The majority of the damage that has been prevented by lockdowns could have been prevented by the voluntary segregation of at-risk individuals and the assistance of civil society in helping them segregate. But unlike lockdowns, voluntary segregation would not have destroyed businesses, escalated suicide and addiction rates, prevented essential medical screenings for undiagnosed patients, caused mass starvation in countries reliant on foreign aid, or permanently retarded the education of an entire generation of children.
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I disagree on a few counts, but your points are well taken. The effect of the lockdowns has been tremendous, and the downstream effects are pretty dire. With that said, Americans would not subject themselves to any sort of voluntary lockdown, and we can hypothesize all day about what the death rates might have looked like one way or the other.